Monday, March 31, 2008
trading view: Icelandic banks
Glitnir Banki HF
--A rating, CDS trading at nearly 1000 bps, stock trading at nearly 17.25, -20% down YTD
--strategy: sell 5y cds or sell 5y CDS + short stocks
--reasoning:
a.even though it has 300 bil ISK bonds and loans due this year, it has enought funding to cushion liquidity: LT bonds increased 300 bill (ISK) in 2007; Customers deposits increased 300 bil (ISK)
b.iceland economy is still holding up fine, unemployment rate 1%, 7 year low
c.iceland authority will serve as the backstop of the bank
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment