Monday, November 5, 2007
market myths from Briefing.com
the myth of credit crunch
--revaluation of assets downwards is not a credit crunch
--credit crunch occurs when banks tighten lending standards across all sectors
--bank credit has surged in recent months, total bank credit has exploded at 12 % annual rate due to a shift in corporate financing from CP to bank loans
the myth of weak dollar
--weak dollar is good for U.S stocks, espcially for exporters
--concern about inflation is unfounded. Over the past five years, the exchagne rate of dollar has fallen 30% against Euro. infatlion rates still fell
the myth of large U.S budget deficit
--U.S budget deficit is low and shrinking. total debt burden of US is declining too
--budget deficit in 2004 3.5% of GDP, 2.6% in 2005, 1.9 in 2006, 1.2 Sep 2007, average of the last 40 years
--total debt dropped from 36.9% in 2006 to 36.5% 2007
What it ALL means
--near term action could be choppy
--long term outlook is postive
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