Friday, November 16, 2007
Goldman sees subprime cutting $2 tril in lending
-- The slump in global credit marketswill force banks, brokerages and hedge funds to cut lending by $2 trillion, triggering the risk of a ``substantial recession'' in the U.S., according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
--Losses related to record U.S. home foreclosures using a``back-of-the-envelope'' calculation may be as high as $400billion for financial companies, Jan Hatzius, chief economist at Goldman in New York wrote in a report dated yesterday. The effects may be amplified tenfold as companies that borrowed tofinance their investments scale back lending, the report said.
--``The likely mortgage credit losses pose a significantly bigger macroeconomic risk than generally recognized,'' Hatziuswrote. ``It is easy to see how such a shock could produce asubstantial recession'' or ``a long period of very sluggishgrowth,'' he wrote.
--forecat reduction in lending is equivalent to 7% of total U.S household, corporate and government debt.
--WS banks have written down more than $50 bil on seucrities related to U.S. subprime mortgages
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