Thursday, January 8, 2009
Bill Gross Favored Top Rated Bonds
Pimco has also favored agency mortgage securities, bank
preferred stocks, senior bank debt and top-rated asset-backed
securities including those tied to credit cards, student loans
and auto-debt payments, Gross wrote. Those picks have been
“well-advertised Pimco strategies over the past six months but
there are others in clear sight,” he wrote.
Commercial mortgages may also be a good bet because the
government may be “headed next” to the asset class, Gross said
today in an interview with CNBC. Some “hint” may come in a
month or two, he said.
Treasury Inflation Protected Securities, or TIPs, while not
something the government would buy, “can benefit if and when the
government’s efforts to reflate begin to take hold,” Gross
wrote. The notes are priced as if the U.S. consumer price index
will average negative 1 percent over the next 10 years, he said.
Since September, U.S. government actions have included a
$700 billion financial-rescue bill; the Federal Reserve’s plan to
buy $600 billion of agency debt and mortgage bonds; Federal
Deposit Insurance Corp. guarantees on bank debt; and $13.4
billion in loans to General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC.
In general, bond investors should be “vigilant” on
inflation, but “that is a battle to be fought in the Treasury
market where low yields offer little reward and increasing
risk,” Gross wrote.
The U.S. credit crisis results from the housing market, bond
insurers, American International Group Inc., Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac, automakers, hedge funds, and governments all acting
like “Ponzi schemes, whose ultimate payoffs were dependent on
the inclusion of more and more players and the production of more
and more paper. Bernie Madoff?”
Gross wrote that “we have met Mr. Ponzi and he is us --all
of us.”
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