Saturday, November 22, 2008
market outlook as of 11/22/2008
--Initial jobless claims registered more than 500k each week for the past month, worst since 1982
--CPI MoM is negative -1%, feuling the deflation concern
--Flight to quality drove 10y T-bond yield to 3%, lowest level since 1973
--S&P declined 54% since the peak in Oct 2007, the worst since 1930s
--Advance retail sales dropped four months in row, unseen since the indcoator started 198x?
--CMBS BBB- credit spread shot up to 40%
--S&P dividiend yield exceeds yield on 10-y T-bond yield
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