Friday, October 9, 2009
Treasurys Slump After Weak Auction
By MIN ZENG
A bout of selling hit the Treasury market Thursday afternoon following a weaker-than-expected $12 billion auction of reopened 30-year bonds, the last leg of this week's $78 billion in government note and bond sales.
Investors had expected strong demand following the previous day's $20 billion 10-year note sale, which was three times subscribed. The optimism had spurred strong buying in the long bond before the auction.
But the rally in the 30-year Treasury bond reversed course after the 1 p.m. EDT auction, while other maturities, already under pressure from rallying stocks and commodities, fell further.
The yield on the 30-year bond rose back above 4% from the intraday low of 3.956%.
Late Thursday, the benchmark 10-year note was down 21/32 point, or $6.5625 per $1,000 face value, at 103 4/32. Its yield rose to 3.251% from 3.175% Wednesday, as yields move inversely to prices. The 30-year bond was down 1 25/32 points to yield 4.090%.
"Looks like strong pre-auction price action pushed rates too low, too fast, and thus demand softened into the auction," said George Goncalves, head of fixed-income rates strategy at Cantor Fitzgerald in New York.
Paul Horrmann, a bond-market strategist at ICAP PLC in Jersey City, N.J, said the move lower may push dealers and traders who hold bets on further gains in prices to sell Treasurys as a way to cover their long positions, which would give the market another leg down.
The 30-year bond came in at a yield of 4.009%, compared with the 3.978% on the when-issued paper just before the auction. Higher yields mean weaker demand in the auction, translating to higher borrowing costs for the government and U.S. taxpayers.
The bid-to-cover ratio, a main gauge of demand, was 2.37, below 2.92 for the previous auction in September and the average of 2.63 from the past four.
The indirect bid -- demand from domestic and foreign institutions, including foreign central banks -- was 34.5%, down from 46.5% for September's auction and the average of 48.5% from the last four.
"The auction came as a little bit of a reality check," said Chris Bury, co-head of rates trading and sales in New York at Jefferies & Co.
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