Wednesday, January 30, 2008
Global Liqudity is Supportive going into the New Year
--It can not rescue financial markes single-handedly this year. But this will provide cushion to the markts
--Real Rates (20y Treasury ) hit low
--Monetary Growth is Still High in EuroZone. M2/GPD is is above 88%
--Bank Deposits and liabilitiies increasd ~1 Tril last half of year to ~10 Tril
--EM Central Banks, nearly ~1 tril, will pile into existing ~2 tril pool. They need a place to invest, either Treasury or Euro mix Bank Deposits.
--Healthy fiscal Balances in major liqudi AAA treasury issuers, fiscal deficit has shranked in the past three years.
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