Tuesday, October 30, 2007
UBS Q3 2007
Overall
--715 mil, 49 c/share, $1.07 /share last year.
Credit Metrics
--total writedown 4.7 bil (4.4 securities vs 0.26 bil leveraged loans), 11% equity
CDO/VIE securities
--gross loss 5.6 bil (net writedown 4.4 bil) FI securities
--writedown for subprime assets 1.5 bil - 2 bil francs
--subprime exposure at the end of Q3: a.16.8 bil RMBS, b.1.8 CDO, c.20.2 super senior
--a.$16.8 bil RMBS subprime (AAA tranche)
--b.1.8 bil CDO retained interest after securitization in warehouse lines (dominantly AAA)
--c.among 20.2 bil exposure: net writedown 1.65 bil valuation between 0.7 and 1 (AAA tranche)
----3.7 bil high-grade ABS paper
----2.7 bil 12% loss protection
----13.2 bil is mezzanine ABS CDO (5% to 10% not RMBS collateral); 1.65 largely from mezzanine; some writedown 30%
--> gross writedown ratio around 12%
Leverage loan
--gross writedown $400 mil (net writedown 260 mil) on 12.9 bil loans, 3% (less than JPM)
Capital adequcy
--ALL/NPL: 41 - 48
Capital
--Tier 1 ratio 10.2%
Evaluation
--stock fell 80 centimes to 61.35 frances
--5y CDS 41 bps
--AA/Aa1: 10y cash 122 bps
comments:
--mark down less than peers
--interest income is raltive stable and trending up
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