Showing posts with label education appetizer. Show all posts
Showing posts with label education appetizer. Show all posts

Monday, April 21, 2008

provision vs net charge offs

http://www.fool.com/investing/beginning/2007/04/09/whats-the-deal-with-bank-reserves.aspx Loan loss provisions When a bank makes 1,000 loans during the quarter, it knows from experience that, say, 1% of those loans will go bad. It doesn't know which ones will go bad -- it just knows from statistical experience that 10 of those loans will not be repaid, or will become slow-paying loans. Rather than waiting for the credit loss to occur, a bank uses its best judgment to account for those losses through the provision for loan losses, a non-cash charge to earnings. Here's a simplified income statement for Ohio-based KeyCorp (NYSE: KEY), highlighting the provision for loan losses. KeyCorp FY 2006 Net Interest Income 2,815 Provision for Loan Losses (150) Noninterest Income 2,127 Noninterest Expense (3,149) Earnings Before Taxes 1,643 Numbers in millions of dollars. Again, the $150 million loan loss provision is not a cash expense. Instead, that $150 million charge builds the loan loss reserve on the balance sheet. The reserve provides a cushion if and when customers don't repay their loans. Without this cushion, there's a chance the bank could be caught with little or no capital. Think of the reserve as a bucket of water that should stay full. Water leaks out of the bucket when the bank abandons hope of collecting on a loan (called a charge-off). Every charge-off causes the reserve to shrink. If this reserve gets too low, the bank replenishes the reserve with the provision for loan losses. Over time, provisions for loan losses should be about equal to charge-offs, ensuring that the reserve doesn't get too low. The bank can also recover previously charged-off loans, which adds to the reserve. On the way out of a recession, a bank can frequently lessen its loan loss provision on the income statement because recoveries of charged-off loans build up the loan loss reserve. Putting it all together The important things to remember are that the provision for loan losses builds the reserve, and charge-offs deplete the reserve. For example, KeyCorp's reserve fell in 2006, as net charge-offs outpaced the provision for loan losses: KeyCorp FY 2006 Reserve at beginning of year 966 Net charge-offs (170) Provision for loan losses 147 Reserve at end of year 943

Friday, February 23, 2007

a when issued market - by Venktesh

A when-issued market B. Venkatesh IN THE recent Credit Policy, the RBI Governor suggested that the central bank might introduce a "when-issued" market in consultation with the government. What is a when-issued market? Suppose the RBI is planning to sell 10-year government bonds. A when-issued market is one where trading takes place in that bond before the issuer sells the securities in the primary market. A when-issued market is very active in government bonds in the US. Why have a when-issued market? Government bonds are typically sold through auctions conducted by the RBI. This is not like the book-building process that we have for stocks. In a book-building process, you are aware of the bids at various price levels. This helps you decide whether to apply for the shares at a particular price. Bond auctions are, however, not transparent. That is, one bond investor does not know the price at which the other is bidding. This leads to a condition called a winner's curse. If an investor quotes a high price, she may be allotted the bonds bid for. But what if the bonds trade at a lower price in the secondary market? The investor actually losses though she was successful at the auction. So, what do the buyers at the auction do? They do not quote a high price lest they should suffer from winner's curse. But, that is bad for the government! If the buyers do not quote a high price, the government's borrowing cost will increase. A when-issued market helps in this regard, as the RBI (the auctioneer) gets an idea of what the market is willing to pay for the bonds. And that helps the central bank set an optimal price for the issue.