Friday, February 15, 2008
2008 life insurance outlook: slowly sinking
--negative outlook is underpinned by the expectation tha low interset rates will continue to pressure investment income and the impact of the current turmoil in the credit market.
--capital managment and international expansion should continue to be the key drivers for earnings growth growth.
--S&P predict 2% growth in life insurance sales in 2008, down from 7% in 2007.
--two means of creating spreads, using term structure or chase yield for opting for higher risk investments. because of the flatness of yield curve, a number of life insuers have been loading up on RMBS, CDOs and other ABS backed by RM to juice returns.
--Prudential Financial and MetLife are the most likely near term industry consolidators. Prudential Financial ended Q3 with a significant war chest of excess capital.
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