Thursday, June 14, 2007
Comment about future of four brokerages
It is tied up the residential mortgage market
Quo Status of Mkt
1.mortgage deliquency rate (one-to-four-unit residential properties)drop 11 bps in the 1Q to 4.84%
2.Mortage rate is high, but not too high
FNCR3030 Index
now 6.686%, highest since 2005. still low compared to 99 or 2000 (8.5%)
3.Supply & Demand
BB - ETSLTOTL Index go - exisitng home sales
5.99 mill in April, lowest in 3y, higher than 2000 and 2001
NHSLTOT - new home sales
981 thousand in April, 3y lowest, close to 2000 and 2001, higher than 95 and 96
Employment rate is the key
-dropped to 4.5% since 2002
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