Euro-Dollar currency trading lost money since 2003 due to the
lack of sustained trends. The
rangebound behavior of the euro-dollar exchange rate in the past three years stems from
two countervailing fundamental forces that prevented dollar from either rising or falling.
First, on the negative side, is the
deteriorating trend in the U.S. current-account balance.
On the positive side is the
comfortably wide spread between U.S. and euro-are interest rates.
When these two forces move in a tandem, it is a good timing to trade euro-dollar.
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